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‘Tipping points’ confuse and can distract from urgent climate action
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

‘Tipping points’ confuse and can distract from urgent climate action

Robert E. Kopp, Elisabeth A. Gilmore, Rachael Shwom, Helen Adams, Carolina Adler, Michael Oppenheimer, Anand Patwardhan, Chris Russill, Daniela N. Schmidt and Richard York
Nature climate change, Vol.15(1), pp.29-36
12/03/2024

Abstract

Climate Change/Climate Change Impacts Earth and Environmental Science Environment Environmental Law/Policy/Ecojustice General Perspective Climate Change
Tipping points have gained substantial traction in climate change discourses. Here we critique the ‘tipping point’ framing for oversimplifying the diverse dynamics of complex natural and human systems and for conveying urgency without fostering a meaningful basis for climate action. Multiple social scientific frameworks suggest that the deep uncertainty and perceived abstractness of climate tipping points render them ineffective for triggering action and setting governance goals. The framing also promotes confusion between temperature-based policy benchmarks and properties of the climate system. In both natural and human systems, we advocate for clearer, more specific language to describe the phenomena labelled as tipping points and for critical evaluation of whether, how and why different framings can support scientific understanding and climate risk management. The tipping points framing is widely used in climate discussions but receives mixed feedback. This Perspective critiques it for oversimplifying the complexities of natural and social systems and failing to drive effective action, and offers recommendations for future improvements.
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Kopp2024 - Authors Manuscript - NCC - Tipping points279.84 kBDownloadView
Accepted Manuscript (AM) Nature Climate Change Open Access
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02196-8View
Version of Record (VoR) Nature Climate Change
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